A computer artificial intelligence (AI) system has correctly predicted the last three U.S. presidential elections.
Now, the AI system predicts: Donald Trump will win the Presidency in 2016!
The AI system was created in 2004, so it has been getting smarter all the time. It had already correctly predicted the results of the Democrat and Republican Primaries.
Data such as engagement with tweets or Facebook Live videos have been taken into account. The result is that Trump has overtaken the engagement numbers of Barack Obama’s peak in 2008 – the year he came into power – by 25 percent.
Rai said that his AI system shows that candidate in each election who had leading engagement data ended up winning the elections.
“If Trump loses, it will defy the data trend for the first time in the last 12 years since Internet engagement began in full earnest,” Rai wrote in a report sent to CNBC.
And experts have confirmed how accurate the data is:
Using social media to predict outcomes of elections has become increasingly popular because of the amount of data available publically. In September, Nick Beauchamp, an assistant professor of political science at Northeastern University, published a paper about his experiment applying AI to more than 100 million tweets in the 2012 election. He found that this closely mirrored the results seen in state-level polling.
“These results provide not just a tool for generating surveylike data, but also a method for investigating how what people say and think reflects, and perhaps even affects, their vote intentions,” Beauchamp said.
This is an important breakthrough in calculating just how many millions of voters are eager to show up on Election Day and vote for Donald Trump.
National polls are based on old and outdated models, and Trump’s unconventional support is challenging – if not impossible – for pollsters to accurately capture. Plus, the liberal media would never want to talk about polls which show Trump winning!
But AI isn’t a poll… It’s all available data points on social media accurately registered. That’s why it could be the most accurate predictor of the 2016 election possible.