Giving Trump the states he’s likely to win… Trump would be up 223 to 222 in the electoral college.
But what is Trump’s path from here?
The map is thin. Wisconsin, Michigan were supposed to Democrat strongholds and it was a brilliant move for Trump to make a play there… because he’s close.
Pennsylvania is supposed to be Hillary’s best of the big battlegrounds.
If Trump ran the table with Florida, New Hampshire, Iowa, and Nevada then he’d have 45 more EV. That’s not enough for him to be president.
So he’s got to get Pennsylvania or Michigan or Wisconsin.
At least that’s what it looks like now.